Farmers Guardian Article by Richard Brown
DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE IMPORTANCE OF UK AGRICULTURE TO THE UK LAND MARKET
Escalating grain prices and the resulting hike in animal feed costs are beginning to open up a substantial divide in profit margins experienced between the arable and livestock sectors. This will range from continuous wheat farmers who are inline for the most profitable harvest this decade (depending on the quantity of the 2007 harvest that was forward sold) to pig producers experiencing substantial weekly losses as feed bills double and treble. Unfortunately this is currently being compounded by the unsatisfactory livestock prices experienced with a ban on exports and crippling movement restrictions imposed following the untimely return of Foot & Mouth in early September.
Nevertheless, it is this “feast and famine” climate that undoubtedly creates opportunities and allows for necessary change, expansion and restructuring throughout the industry. Historically agriculture has always evolved and adapted, with change a healthy and essential part of the industry.
Prior to and throughout the turbulent transition from production based subsidies to the current Single Farm Payment (SFP) regime, this element of change has been noticeably absent. Some three years on, farmers are comfortable with the stability brought about by SFP and accepting of its minimal impact on land values. Thus creating greater confidence amongst land owners who are now happy to place land onto what is a very buoyant market.
The increase in UK land values has been well reported to date. Demand for farms sold by Hexham & Northern Rural (HNR) has been largely fuelled by Irishmen with ever stronger purchasing power on the back of land values four and five times greater than our own. This, coupled with favourably low rates of interest; inheritance tax relief and the low risk investment status associated with land ownership (all helping to attract city and lifestyle investors) will ensure the firm market should continue.
Whilst the above factors are well documented, we must not forget the most important contributor to demand for UK farmland – the UK farmer. In 2006 over 50% of farms were reported to have been successfully purchased by active farmers - a statistic upheld throughout the last 12 months across HNR sales of land in excess of 1400 acres.
Conversely, it is for many of these factors that there remains a massive shortage of land for sale and land prices continue to hit record levels. However, what is apparent is the number of farmers, often livestock, (who like arable farmers in 2005) are now wishing to arrange the letting or contracting out of their land. What is encouraging and a good indicator of the level of optimism remaining in agriculture is the large volume of interest that is continually expressed in farms to let, from bare arable land to upland hill units.
Although we are often reminded that the average age of farmers is 58, it is HNR’s experience that there is a strong contingency of determined young, agri-business farming families who are willing and able to take opportunities when they arise. For every farmer wishing to surrender a tenancy, there would appear to be several eager to take their place. With the majority of letting farms being offered separately from SFP entitlements, all budgets accompanying tender forms must detail efficient farming practice with each enterprise being entirely self supporting. This applies from arable land where production is king to upland units where potential tenants must seek to achieve the correct agri- environmental balance to ensure best profitability.
Therefore, whilst we continue to focus on the external factors affecting the modern farmland market, we must not forget that it is the relentless drive for farming efficiency, diversity and bravery to expand, which ensures developments in agriculture and ultimately underpins demand within the UK farm land market. For this reason Surveyors at HNR consider it an essential part of their job to help farmers facilitate change through the sale, letting or contracting out of farms to benefit the individual as well as the industry and market as a whole. |